Recent Blogs & Links:

Seminars Structured Expert Judgment

Special Sauce, blog for Int'l J Forecasting article

Princeton Press Release expert judgment, Nature Climate

European Cooperation in Science and Technology Expert Judgment Network  Bridging the Gap Between Scientific Uncertainty and Evidence-Based Decision Making

Expert Judgment Respectability Looming

Wiki page Stuctured Expert Judgment

The Iceman Cometh blog SEJ and Sea Level Rise

Aquila Earth quake, scientists get 6 years in prison

 

Publications by Area

Climate

Ecosystems & Public Health

Civil Aviation & Structural Reliability

Natural Hazards

Nuclear Safety

Banking, Finance, Cyber Security

Selected Structured Expert Judgment papers:

Social Cost of Carbon SEJ & Appendix

Likelihood of Aso4-scale eruption  RMEGV2021

Marti PhD, GWU Experts' Cognitive Processes

Int'l J Forecasting Expert forecasting  & SI

I.J. Risk Ass't & Man't Carbon cap & geo storage,

REEP Validation for Classical Model

RESS Cross Validation & Elicitation,

Comp & OR Quantifying Info Security Risks

PNAS SEJ ice sheets

BMJ  Impact of Brexit on UK food prices

Frontiers Earth Science Prob'stic forecast White Island

J Risk Research Tectonic risks in Japan

PLoS 1  Evaluation of Performance: WHO SEJ study of    global burden of disease

Elementa Stormwater Management in Chesapeake Bay; SEJ

Cons Bio Impacts of Asian Carp Invasion Lake Erie -  SEJ

RFF SEJ Breast Feeding and IQ & AStA

RFF SEJ IQ and Earnings

 Applications by Field

More publications

Video's

Deciding under Uncertainty, Cooke@RFF (10 mins)

The Confidence Trap (13 mins)

SEJ Intro (9 mins)

SEJ Validation (25 mins)

SEJ for Ice Sheets (10 mins)

Probabilistic reasoning:  Climate Sensitivity (15 mins)

 

 

 

Software            Online Course

EXCALIBUR                   SEJ TU Delft

UNINET

ANDURYL

SEJ DATA

43 pre 2009 studies

55 post 2006 studies